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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+6.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+7.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+6.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+1.41vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.68+2.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.90-0.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.61-0.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.75-5.64vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-1.52vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.42-6.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.92vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.15-4.23vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.62-2.97vs Predicted
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19Williams College-0.60-0.84vs Predicted
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20Tufts University0.86-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.44Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.37Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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15.03Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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18.16Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.26Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Roman | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Andy Yu | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Cam Spriggs | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 8.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 58.9% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.