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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+8.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+6.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68+6.61vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.15+6.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.01+1.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-1.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-3.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.86+2.26vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.38-5.04vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.48vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.61-4.06vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.57-4.84vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-7.74vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.62-3.01vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.42-11.62vs Predicted
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20Williams College-0.60-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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5.51Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.26Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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14.48Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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14.99Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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18.21Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Jack Roman | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Andy Yu | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 12.6% |
| Cam Spriggs | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.