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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+4.00vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.29+7.29vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27+6.15vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.18+2.58vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98-0.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44-0.29vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-2.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-1.65vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.56-0.69vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-3.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.39-5.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.21vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.95-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7710.8%1st Place
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6.0University of Southern California1.4010.5%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College0.292.5%1st Place
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10.15Princeton University0.272.3%1st Place
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7.58Cornell University1.186.6%1st Place
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5.34Fordham University1.9812.0%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University1.447.8%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6810.3%1st Place
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7.35Boston University1.147.6%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont0.563.8%1st Place
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7.74Northeastern University1.077.2%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy1.397.3%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.996.5%1st Place
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8.32Rollins College0.954.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Harris | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 26.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 24.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Teddy Martin | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Milo Miller | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.