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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+4.11vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+3.01vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+2.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.32+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.25+1.46vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26+0.36vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25+2.57vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.90-3.80vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.71-0.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.70-5.87vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.69-3.55vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.56vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.53-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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3.38Salve Regina University3.920.3%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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8.36Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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11.57Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.27University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College1.690.0%1st Place
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10.44Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 25.4% | 21.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ian Paice | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Bradley Abbott | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| David Pierce | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 27.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Justin Marks | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.3% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Daly | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.