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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+6.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+7.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+4.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.09+4.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.37+2.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+3.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.64-0.75vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.23-0.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-1.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93+3.12vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.83-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.75-2.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-1.98vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.88-0.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.40-3.87vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.90-2.85vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-5.94vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-6.39vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-1.96vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia-2.63-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.62Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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13.12Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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9.38Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.26Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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13.15Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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17.04Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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19.65University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 3.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 0.5% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 50.3% | 8.0% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.