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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+5.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.37+5.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+6.57vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.09+4.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+5.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+3.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.90+6.58vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-1.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-2.95vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.79-1.43vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.23-4.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93+0.49vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-2.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-1.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-6.94vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-5.99vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.40-6.65vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.88vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia-2.63-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.57Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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13.58Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.57Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.49Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.27Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.35Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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16.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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19.69University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 0.6% |
| William Kulas | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 39.0% | 4.8% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.