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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+5.98vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+7.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+7.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.14+3.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.37+0.34vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.09+0.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.40+2.09vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+1.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-0.21vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.64-5.81vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.90+0.59vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.23-6.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-1.88vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.83-6.69vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.79-7.58vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-1.78vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.88-5.69vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia-2.63-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.19Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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13.59Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.12Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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9.31Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.42Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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16.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.31Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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19.69University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Lech | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 1.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 0.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 42.0% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.