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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.09+7.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+4.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+4.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.37+3.14vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14+1.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+1.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51+0.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.90+2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.75-2.11vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.40-1.44vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-2.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-1.89vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.79-6.50vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.88-3.78vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-1.72vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-7.89vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia-2.63-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.36Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.11Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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9.5Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.22Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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16.28Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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19.69University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 0.6% |
| Max Sigel | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Adams | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 0.9% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 43.2% | 4.3% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Power | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 92.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.