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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+9.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+9.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.88+10.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+5.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+4.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+3.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.64-0.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.37-1.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-2.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.83-0.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.14-2.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93+1.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.90-0.84vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.40-3.75vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-9.04vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.23-9.50vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.76vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.69+0.10vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.09-11.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.33Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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9.56Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.36Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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13.33Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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13.16Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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17.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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19.1Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 1.7% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 1.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 39.5% | 20.1% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 13.8% | 73.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.