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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.23+6.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+4.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.37+4.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.79+4.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+2.73vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.75+0.54vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.14-1.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-0.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93+1.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.40-1.53vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-2.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-1.75vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-5.06vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.09-8.86vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.90-4.69vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-1.86vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.69-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.5Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.73Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.36Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.25Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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13.31Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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17.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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19.19Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan McDonald | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 1.3% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 40.2% | 18.2% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 11.9% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.