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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.83+8.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+7.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.37+4.26vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.23+2.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.90+7.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40+4.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-1.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.10vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51+0.78vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93+2.18vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.64-5.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.61vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-4.56vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.46vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.14-7.96vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.09-8.91vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.80vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.88-5.77vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.69-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.37Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.18Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.24Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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9.44Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.54Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.09Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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17.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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19.15Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Alex Lech | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 12.5% | 41.3% | 18.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 12.9% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.