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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+4.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+6.02vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+3.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40+1.09vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.29+4.34vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.18+0.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.39-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.84-0.58vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-2.85vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.27-0.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-4.01vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-6.99vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.95-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Fordham University1.9812.5%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.7%1st Place
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6.82George Washington University1.447.6%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7711.5%1st Place
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6.09University of Southern California1.4010.2%1st Place
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10.34SUNY Maritime College0.292.6%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University1.186.0%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Naval Academy1.398.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont0.845.0%1st Place
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7.15Boston University1.146.7%1st Place
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10.24Princeton University0.272.8%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.075.7%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6810.4%1st Place
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8.34Rollins College0.955.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Luke Harris | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 26.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Teddy Martin | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 26.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Milo Miller | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.