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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+6.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.09+6.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75+4.60vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+3.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+2.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.14-0.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+1.58vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.88+3.39vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.23-3.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.90+0.57vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+2.29vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-8.07vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.10-3.62vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.93-3.93vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-6.94vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.31-7.52vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.69-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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9.65Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.61Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.39Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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13.57Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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16.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.38Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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13.07Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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19.23Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 1.8% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 33.8% | 11.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 8.5% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.