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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+5.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+5.99vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.09+5.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+6.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.83+4.26vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+3.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+2.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.37-1.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+4.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+0.98vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-3.99vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.88+1.39vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.23-5.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.90-0.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.10-2.75vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.59vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+0.08vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.75-8.32vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.69+0.11vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.64-13.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.26Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.55Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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13.0Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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13.39Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.12Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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12.25Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.41Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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17.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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19.11Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 1.5% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 40.8% | 17.9% |
| Max Sigel | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 12.5% | 75.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.