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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Fordham University0.81+0.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-1.86vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34-1.59vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.21-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.41Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.59SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.5% | 22.5% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 16.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 17.4% | 22.2% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 16.7% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 40.6% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 10.9% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 24.6% | 27.9% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.6% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.