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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.81+1.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.02vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.21-0.43vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-2.85vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.34-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.57SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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2.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.43Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.1% | 22.5% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.6% | 23.2% | 23.0% | 20.2% | 17.0% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.4% | 25.5% | 20.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Jasper Waldman | 13.0% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 24.3% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.