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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Fordham University0.81+0.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.03vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34-0.57vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.21-1.43vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.43Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.57SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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2.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.7% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 15.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 17.5% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 16.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.7% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 23.4% | 29.7% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.9% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 33.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.2% | 26.8% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.