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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.81+1.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+0.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.21-0.44vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34-1.56vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.44Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.5% | 23.2% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 17.4% | 22.1% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 17.0% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 33.7% |
| Jasper Waldman | 12.5% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 29.6% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.5% | 26.2% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.