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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.81+1.87vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.21+0.61vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34-0.57vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-2.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.61SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.43Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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2.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.8% | 22.6% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| Tyler Mendes | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 24.4% | 34.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 29.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 38.5% | 27.3% | 20.4% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 18.7% | 21.0% | 22.2% | 22.7% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.