← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.34+1.47vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University0.81-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-2.86vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College0.21-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
-
3.47Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
-
2.83Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
-
2.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
-
3.58SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bragg | 18.1% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.4% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 24.4% | 29.8% |
| James Owen | 20.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 13.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.2% | 26.6% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Mendes | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.