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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Fordham University0.81+0.90vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-0.83vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.21-0.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-2.08vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.34-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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2.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.9% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 16.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 37.5% | 27.1% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.5% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 24.0% | 33.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 18.8% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 15.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.