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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+4.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+3.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.39+1.78vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.95+2.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07-0.05vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44-2.26vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.18-2.45vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.47vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.27-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.84-4.39vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.29-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Fordham University1.9812.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Southern California1.4010.5%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.689.6%1st Place
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7.29Boston University1.146.4%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy1.398.5%1st Place
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8.5Rollins College0.955.2%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.996.3%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.076.3%1st Place
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6.74George Washington University1.448.0%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University1.186.2%1st Place
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5.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7710.9%1st Place
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10.35Princeton University0.272.4%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont0.844.7%1st Place
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10.27SUNY Maritime College0.292.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Luke Harris | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Teddy Martin | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Milo Miller | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 24.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.