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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+0.17vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.81-0.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-1.06vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34-1.58vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.21-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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2.89Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.42Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.6% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| James Owen | 18.9% | 23.6% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 14.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 18.8% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 22.0% | 15.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.7% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 23.7% | 28.8% |
| Tyler Mendes | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.