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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Fordham University0.81+0.87vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.34+0.44vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-1.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.21-1.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.44Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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2.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.6% | 22.7% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 12.0% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 29.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.2% | 26.7% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.1% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 33.4% |
| Lewis Bragg | 18.1% | 21.7% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.