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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.81+1.88vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-0.85vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.21-0.44vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34-1.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 21.8% | 20.7% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 37.1% | 29.6% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.5% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 34.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.2% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 26.0% | 28.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 19.4% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.