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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+0.96vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.81-0.09vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-1.86vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.21-1.45vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.34-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.91Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.55SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.44Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bragg | 19.4% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| James Owen | 18.8% | 22.8% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 15.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 40.3% | 24.9% | 19.4% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mendes | 9.8% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 25.3% | 32.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.