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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Maritime College0.21+1.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.04vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34-0.57vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.81-2.13vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.43Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.87Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mendes | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 35.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.9% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 15.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 23.7% | 29.8% |
| James Owen | 20.5% | 21.5% | 22.7% | 21.3% | 14.0% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 39.2% | 25.3% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.