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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.81+1.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-1.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.21-1.44vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.34-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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2.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.44Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Owen | 20.6% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 17.2% | 22.6% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 17.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 40.3% | 24.6% | 19.5% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.1% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 25.5% | 32.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.8% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 24.6% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.