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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+0.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-0.84vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34-0.59vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.81-2.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.21-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.4%1st Place
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3.41Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.84Fordham University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.61SUNY Maritime College0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bragg | 19.5% | 18.8% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 18.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 37.5% | 27.4% | 20.3% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.9% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 28.5% |
| James Owen | 20.3% | 23.9% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 13.8% |
| Tyler Mendes | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 24.7% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.