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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+3.10vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+3.15vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.06vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.78vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+2.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.28vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.06Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.78George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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3.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 47.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 19.1% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.