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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+3.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.72vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.35+0.84vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.36vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.08-0.62vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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5.97George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.84Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.88Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.38Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.4% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 7.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 49.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 21.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.