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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+3.96vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.81vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.98vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+0.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.28vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.79-1.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-2.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.08-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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5.98George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.94Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.38Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 16.7% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 14.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 17.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 49.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.