Race 5B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Luke Harris 10.0% 10.0% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 8.2% 7.0% 6.2% 4.3% 4.5% 2.9% 1.6%
Jacob Zils 13.5% 12.7% 12.6% 10.9% 9.7% 7.9% 8.4% 6.4% 6.2% 4.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Nathan Jensen 11.1% 10.8% 10.2% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 7.5% 8.2% 6.8% 5.8% 5.1% 3.5% 2.6% 0.8%
Reed McAllister 5.8% 5.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.8% 6.2% 6.6% 7.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.7% 10.2% 7.3% 5.1%
JJ Klempen 15.7% 13.9% 13.5% 12.3% 10.7% 9.0% 7.3% 5.5% 4.1% 3.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4%
Teddy Martin 7.9% 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.1% 7.6% 7.7% 7.4% 7.0% 9.3% 7.5% 5.4% 4.4% 2.0%
Marcus Adam 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 11.6% 14.7% 23.6%
Sam Riley 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 9.2% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 8.2%
Maya Conway 3.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 8.2% 7.5% 9.5% 9.8% 13.0% 15.2%
Tiare Sierra 5.9% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 7.8% 7.4% 6.0% 5.2% 3.4%
Jedidiah Bechtel 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 7.5% 8.7% 9.8% 9.2% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 5.3% 3.3% 1.7%
Joshua Dillon 5.7% 5.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 4.2%
Gavin Sanborn 3.8% 3.4% 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.3% 10.9% 12.3% 12.2%
Jasper Waldman 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 6.8% 8.7% 11.3% 15.0% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.