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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+3.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.69vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.43vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.20vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.08+0.43vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35-3.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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5.06Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.43Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.86George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 4.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 22.7% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 50.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.