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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.08+4.42vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-1.05vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.28vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35-3.04vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.42Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.78George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.95Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.01Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 19.9% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 52.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 15.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 18.3% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.