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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+4.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+2.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.08+4.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.79vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.43vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.19vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-2.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.50vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.2Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.43Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.79George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 52.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 14.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.0% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.