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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+2.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.66vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.49vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.08+0.15vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03-0.83vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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5.64George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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3.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.64Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.8% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 10.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.0% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 23.3% | 36.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 38.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.