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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+1.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.29vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.08+2.96vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.03+1.17vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90-1.35vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.60vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.96Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.65George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.65Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 14.2% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 34.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Boris Bialer | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 21.4% | 39.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 10.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 21.8% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.