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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.40vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+2.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-0.34vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.55vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.60vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.85-0.59vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.84Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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3.66Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.52George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 22.5% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 18.2% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 9.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Maya Conway | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 22.6% | 43.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 24.3% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.