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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.42vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-0.33vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+0.46vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08+1.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-2.79vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.45vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.85-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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3.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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3.67Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 20.8% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 17.7% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 26.7% | 32.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Maya Conway | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.