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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.74vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08+1.35vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35-3.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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5.05Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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3.95Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.35Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.93Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.9George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 15.9% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 48.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 18.8% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.