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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+2.21vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+0.75vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-2.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.08-0.60vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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5.75George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.4Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.02Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 19.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 16.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 6.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 50.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.