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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+3.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.71vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.09vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35-0.18vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90-1.04vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.08-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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5.09Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.82Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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5.96George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.37Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 5.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 20.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 15.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 49.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.