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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+3.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+2.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.94+1.10vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.36+5.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-0.46vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.43-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.52+1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.18-4.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.89-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.87+0.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-7.00vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-9.33vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University0.59-2.18vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.1Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.06Middlebury College1.360.0%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.69Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.51University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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13.2University of Connecticut0.870.0%1st Place
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7.0Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.82Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.07Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.3% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Wyer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 12.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 27.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 38.7% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.