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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+4.91vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+3.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.43vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-1.06vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08+1.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.47-3.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.22Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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3.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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3.94Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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7.37Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.97Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 19.6% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 18.0% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 15.7% | 49.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 5.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.