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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.50vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+2.23vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.59vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.25vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.41vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.08+0.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35-3.03vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.23Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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3.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.97Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 50.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.