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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+3.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.80vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.97vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+0.92vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+2.20vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.42vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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3.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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5.97George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.92Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.2Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 16.9% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 46.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.