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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.05vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+1.52vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+3.47vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.53vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.81vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.52Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.47Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.96Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.54George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 24.7% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 15.8% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 24.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.5% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 10.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.