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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+2.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.20vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.77vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-0.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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3.2Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.91Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.49George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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6.41Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 21.8% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 20.2% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 26.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 21.9% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 24.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.