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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.02vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+4.61vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+2.58vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.70vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.34-4.56vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.61Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.58George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.96Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.44Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 24.8% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 25.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 24.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 19.7% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 20.5% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.