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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.31vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+4.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+0.05vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.93vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.34-1.63vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.54vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.77vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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3.05Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.37Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.53George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 20.0% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 25.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 23.7% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 21.7% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.